The following graphs are supplemental to Northern Powergrid's DFES 2020 interactive map . Each graph can be downloaded as a scalable-vector-graphic (SVG). The underlying data for each graph is also available as a CSV file.
Emissions
Figure 1: Annual carbon emissions (MtCO2 )
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
NPg Planning Scenario 35.179 20.224 5.173 0.220
0
10
20
30
Mt CO2(e)
2020
2030
2040
2050
NPg Planning Scenario
2020: 35.179
2021: 34.886
2022: 34.394
2023: 33.121
2024: 32.322
2025: 30.889
2026: 28.332
2027: 26.185
2028: 24.181
2029: 22.299
2030: 20.224
2031: 18.337
2032: 16.246
2033: 14.352
2034: 12.558
2035: 10.893
2036: 9.582
2037: 8.368
2038: 7.254
2039: 6.191
2040: 5.173
2041: 4.108
2042: 3.279
2043: 2.579
2044: 1.995
2045: 1.448
2046: 1.049
2047: 0.655
2048: 0.381
2049: 0.285
2050: 0.220
Figure 2: Cumulative carbon emissions (MtCO2 )
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
NPg Planning Scenario 35.179 322.012 430.967 446.966
0
100
200
300
400
Cumulative emissions (MtCO2)
2020
2030
2040
2050
NPg Planning Scenario
2020: 35.179
2021: 70.065
2022: 104.460
2023: 137.581
2024: 169.903
2025: 200.792
2026: 229.124
2027: 255.308
2028: 279.489
2029: 301.789
2030: 322.012
2031: 340.349
2032: 356.596
2033: 370.947
2034: 383.506
2035: 394.398
2036: 403.980
2037: 412.348
2038: 419.602
2039: 425.794
2040: 430.967
2041: 435.075
2042: 438.355
2043: 440.934
2044: 442.929
2045: 444.377
2046: 445.426
2047: 446.080
2048: 446.461
2049: 446.746
2050: 446.966
Figure 3: Network annual carbon emission breakdown - Planning Scenario (MtCO2 )
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Natural gas 11.112 8.228 3.342 0.017
Hydrogen 0.000 0.004 0.027 0.058
Bioenergy 0.058 0.034 0.015 0.009
Petrol 18.142 9.831 1.314 0.027
Solid fuel 0.283 0.141 0.036 0.003
Electricity 5.584 1.985 0.440 0.105
Total emissions 35.179 20.224 5.173 0.220
0
10
20
30
Annual emissions (MtCO2)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Natural gas
2020: 11.112
2021: 10.983
2022: 10.854
2023: 10.690
2024: 10.518
2025: 10.279
2026: 9.987
2027: 9.638
2028: 9.181
2029: 8.711
2030: 8.228
2031: 7.840
2032: 7.426
2033: 6.955
2034: 6.418
2035: 5.878
2036: 5.366
2037: 4.875
2038: 4.379
2039: 3.869
2040: 3.342
2041: 2.781
2042: 2.278
2043: 1.834
2044: 1.408
2045: 1.044
2046: 0.714
2047: 0.392
2048: 0.136
2049: 0.071
2050: 0.017
Hydrogen
2020: 0.000
2021: 0.001
2022: 0.001
2023: 0.001
2024: 0.001
2025: 0.001
2026: 0.001
2027: 0.001
2028: 0.001
2029: 0.001
2030: 0.004
2031: 0.006
2032: 0.007
2033: 0.009
2034: 0.012
2035: 0.014
2036: 0.017
2037: 0.019
2038: 0.021
2039: 0.024
2040: 0.027
2041: 0.035
2042: 0.041
2043: 0.045
2044: 0.050
2045: 0.053
2046: 0.055
2047: 0.056
2048: 0.057
2049: 0.058
2050: 0.058
Bioenergy
2020: 0.058
2021: 0.057
2022: 0.055
2023: 0.053
2024: 0.051
2025: 0.049
2026: 0.046
2027: 0.043
2028: 0.039
2029: 0.037
2030: 0.034
2031: 0.032
2032: 0.030
2033: 0.028
2034: 0.026
2035: 0.024
2036: 0.022
2037: 0.020
2038: 0.019
2039: 0.017
2040: 0.015
2041: 0.013
2042: 0.012
2043: 0.010
2044: 0.010
2045: 0.010
2046: 0.010
2047: 0.010
2048: 0.010
2049: 0.010
2050: 0.009
Petrol
2020: 18.142
2021: 18.136
2022: 17.886
2023: 17.279
2024: 16.601
2025: 15.734
2026: 14.595
2027: 13.438
2028: 12.228
2029: 11.007
2030: 9.831
2031: 8.668
2032: 7.427
2033: 6.288
2034: 5.258
2035: 4.336
2036: 3.563
2037: 2.882
2038: 2.284
2039: 1.763
2040: 1.314
2041: 0.948
2042: 0.652
2043: 0.416
2044: 0.265
2045: 0.164
2046: 0.108
2047: 0.067
2048: 0.048
2049: 0.036
2050: 0.027
Solid fuel
2020: 0.283
2021: 0.277
2022: 0.265
2023: 0.251
2024: 0.237
2025: 0.225
2026: 0.208
2027: 0.189
2028: 0.167
2029: 0.154
2030: 0.141
2031: 0.130
2032: 0.118
2033: 0.107
2034: 0.097
2035: 0.086
2036: 0.077
2037: 0.067
2038: 0.057
2039: 0.046
2040: 0.036
2041: 0.026
2042: 0.016
2043: 0.006
2044: 0.005
2045: 0.004
2046: 0.004
2047: 0.004
2048: 0.003
2049: 0.003
2050: 0.003
Electricity
2020: 5.584
2021: 5.433
2022: 5.334
2023: 4.848
2024: 4.915
2025: 4.602
2026: 3.495
2027: 2.876
2028: 2.565
2029: 2.390
2030: 1.985
2031: 1.662
2032: 1.237
2033: 0.963
2034: 0.748
2035: 0.554
2036: 0.538
2037: 0.506
2038: 0.495
2039: 0.472
2040: 0.440
2041: 0.306
2042: 0.282
2043: 0.267
2044: 0.258
2045: 0.173
2046: 0.158
2047: 0.126
2048: 0.126
2049: 0.107
2050: 0.105
Total emissions
2020: 35.179
2021: 34.886
2022: 34.394
2023: 33.121
2024: 32.322
2025: 30.889
2026: 28.332
2027: 26.185
2028: 24.181
2029: 22.299
2030: 20.224
2031: 18.337
2032: 16.246
2033: 14.352
2034: 12.558
2035: 10.893
2036: 9.582
2037: 8.368
2038: 7.254
2039: 6.191
2040: 5.173
2041: 4.108
2042: 3.279
2043: 2.579
2044: 1.995
2045: 1.448
2046: 1.049
2047: 0.655
2048: 0.381
2049: 0.285
2050: 0.220
Low carbon technologies
Figure 4: Electric vehicle uptake forecast (#)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Consumer transformation 37328 1655344 4431205 4086045
System transformation 37328 951624 4226193 4133725
Steady progression 37328 747496 3517763 4636643
Leading the way 37328 1812382 4363767 3160521
NPg Planning Scenario 37328 1851101 4596745 5021138
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
Number
2020
2030
2040
2050
Consumer transformation
2019: 26353
2020: 37328
2021: 74278
2022: 131596
2023: 203332
2024: 303722
2025: 436413
2026: 603754
2027: 805616
2028: 1046385
2029: 1331375
2030: 1655344
2031: 2034198
2032: 2435229
2033: 2835593
2034: 3213844
2035: 3548423
2036: 3830519
2037: 4054689
2038: 4223447
2039: 4347769
2040: 4431205
2041: 4462658
2042: 4460380
2043: 4447469
2044: 4425086
2045: 4393799
2046: 4353742
2047: 4303533
2048: 4244713
2049: 4171426
2050: 4086045
System transformation
2019: 26353
2020: 37328
2021: 58015
2022: 85178
2023: 122114
2024: 170653
2025: 234986
2026: 318999
2027: 427076
2028: 564934
2029: 738256
2030: 951624
2031: 1220735
2032: 1523686
2033: 1871251
2034: 2255453
2035: 2644902
2036: 3036877
2037: 3408369
2038: 3734852
2039: 4009521
2040: 4226193
2041: 4387647
2042: 4502783
2043: 4503922
2044: 4479049
2045: 4442678
2046: 4392217
2047: 4324916
2048: 4267504
2049: 4203068
2050: 4133725
Steady progression
2019: 26353
2020: 37328
2021: 57745
2022: 83805
2023: 116239
2024: 158885
2025: 213262
2026: 281557
2027: 365938
2028: 469787
2029: 596128
2030: 747496
2031: 930295
2032: 1129496
2033: 1356716
2034: 1610789
2035: 1888053
2036: 2207186
2037: 2542826
2038: 2884130
2039: 3222142
2040: 3517763
2041: 3784338
2042: 4018993
2043: 4217923
2044: 4382969
2045: 4506090
2046: 4538842
2047: 4567487
2048: 4592842
2049: 4615677
2050: 4636643
Leading the way
2019: 26353
2020: 37328
2021: 72016
2022: 124935
2023: 201814
2024: 301414
2025: 435065
2026: 607515
2027: 821021
2028: 1093022
2029: 1424698
2030: 1812382
2031: 2240703
2032: 2679791
2033: 3105675
2034: 3488656
2035: 3801724
2036: 4041478
2037: 4208832
2038: 4313677
2039: 4376483
2040: 4363767
2041: 4327009
2042: 4272531
2043: 4202514
2044: 4112528
2045: 4004466
2046: 3878557
2047: 3733090
2048: 3566248
2049: 3376065
2050: 3160521
NPg Planning Scenario
2019: 26353
2020: 37328
2021: 63649
2022: 116333
2023: 221493
2024: 358149
2025: 531397
2026: 723729
2027: 947174
2028: 1202124
2029: 1483417
2030: 1851101
2031: 2206223
2032: 2550564
2033: 2880984
2034: 3194069
2035: 3487300
2036: 3756887
2037: 4003149
2038: 4225037
2039: 4422951
2040: 4596745
2041: 4705938
2042: 4793704
2043: 4861803
2044: 4913437
2045: 4951683
2046: 4978310
2047: 4996803
2048: 5008685
2049: 5016402
2050: 5021138
Figure 5: Electric vehicle penetration of total car stock (%)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
NPg Planning Scenario 0.8 38 86.5 94.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
EVs (%)
2020
2030
2040
2050
NPg Planning Scenario
2020: 0.8
2021: 1.4
2022: 2.5
2023: 4.8
2024: 7.8
2025: 11.4
2026: 15.4
2027: 20
2028: 25.2
2029: 30.8
2030: 38
2031: 44.9
2032: 51.5
2033: 57.6
2034: 63.2
2035: 68.4
2036: 73.1
2037: 77.2
2038: 80.8
2039: 83.9
2040: 86.5
2041: 88.5
2042: 90.2
2043: 91.5
2044: 92.4
2045: 93.2
2046: 93.7
2047: 94
2048: 94.3
2049: 94.4
2050: 94.5
Figure 6: Total number of heat pumps
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Consumer transformation 31599 485977 2259490 3221876
System transformation 31599 186343 772118 1428566
Steady progression 31599 213754 726622 1084341
Leading the way 31599 1010954 2397681 2710280
NPg Planning Scenario 31467 693031 2411229 3570195
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
Number
2020
2030
2040
2050
Consumer transformation
2019: 27449
2020: 31599
2021: 39576
2022: 57167
2023: 76848
2024: 99830
2025: 126506
2026: 165108
2027: 211571
2028: 280407
2029: 372312
2030: 485977
2031: 640256
2032: 803924
2033: 965899
2034: 1126358
2035: 1285374
2036: 1522389
2037: 1711931
2038: 1899050
2039: 2080647
2040: 2259490
2041: 2449329
2042: 2615328
2043: 2753218
2044: 2865708
2045: 2952648
2046: 3024864
2047: 3078413
2048: 3125971
2049: 3173913
2050: 3221876
System transformation
2019: 27449
2020: 31599
2021: 32108
2022: 41501
2023: 51015
2024: 61124
2025: 71764
2026: 90798
2027: 111449
2028: 133758
2029: 158451
2030: 186343
2031: 228912
2032: 258032
2033: 293321
2034: 335191
2035: 383763
2036: 434981
2037: 524619
2038: 610922
2039: 693458
2040: 772118
2041: 872709
2042: 943114
2043: 1013535
2044: 1082875
2045: 1150242
2046: 1232143
2047: 1290057
2048: 1342472
2049: 1388667
2050: 1428566
Steady progression
2019: 27449
2020: 31599
2021: 35997
2022: 41895
2023: 47737
2024: 53507
2025: 59238
2026: 85365
2027: 113540
2028: 144233
2029: 177738
2030: 213754
2031: 255220
2032: 300788
2033: 346890
2034: 393619
2035: 440887
2036: 500869
2037: 555860
2038: 611853
2039: 668731
2040: 726622
2041: 778405
2042: 816565
2043: 853767
2044: 889259
2045: 924733
2046: 967839
2047: 996226
2048: 1025106
2049: 1054419
2050: 1084341
Leading the way
2019: 27449
2020: 31599
2021: 42030
2022: 95592
2023: 157356
2024: 228442
2025: 308921
2026: 415874
2027: 550477
2028: 702745
2029: 855486
2030: 1010954
2031: 1175365
2032: 1331821
2033: 1486595
2034: 1640469
2035: 1793202
2036: 1948759
2037: 2070783
2038: 2192811
2039: 2299856
2040: 2397681
2041: 2479326
2042: 2522381
2043: 2550429
2044: 2577323
2045: 2600412
2046: 2629107
2047: 2650201
2048: 2670980
2049: 2690986
2050: 2710280
NPg Planning Scenario
2019: 27449
2020: 31467
2021: 39084
2022: 55532
2023: 74862
2024: 95444
2025: 147258
2026: 217863
2027: 306612
2028: 420766
2029: 546905
2030: 693031
2031: 827247
2032: 970302
2033: 1131524
2034: 1307560
2035: 1497441
2036: 1678340
2037: 1857681
2038: 2040879
2039: 2231294
2040: 2411229
2041: 2600240
2042: 2772725
2043: 2926563
2044: 3060656
2045: 3183626
2046: 3296543
2047: 3410687
2048: 3525013
2049: 3553422
2050: 3570195
Figure 7: Battery storage capacity installed (GW)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Consumer transformation 0.172 0.744 1.582 2.388
System transformation 0.172 0.431 0.804 1.070
Steady progression 0.172 0.363 0.859 1.009
Leading the way 0.172 0.607 1.594 2.398
NPg Planning Scenario 0.172 0.607 1.594 2.398
0
1
2
Installed capacity (GW)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Consumer transformation
2019: 0.170
2020: 0.172
2021: 0.282
2022: 0.393
2023: 0.505
2024: 0.514
2025: 0.527
2026: 0.600
2027: 0.620
2028: 0.643
2029: 0.664
2030: 0.744
2031: 0.771
2032: 0.896
2033: 0.934
2034: 0.972
2035: 1.091
2036: 1.137
2037: 1.225
2038: 1.320
2039: 1.495
2040: 1.582
2041: 1.707
2042: 1.811
2043: 1.866
2044: 1.921
2045: 1.978
2046: 2.080
2047: 2.141
2048: 2.205
2049: 2.320
2050: 2.388
System transformation
2019: 0.170
2020: 0.172
2021: 0.235
2022: 0.298
2023: 0.361
2024: 0.364
2025: 0.368
2026: 0.405
2027: 0.410
2028: 0.417
2029: 0.423
2030: 0.431
2031: 0.438
2032: 0.446
2033: 0.457
2034: 0.537
2035: 0.597
2036: 0.615
2037: 0.667
2038: 0.682
2039: 0.742
2040: 0.804
2041: 0.819
2042: 0.910
2043: 0.924
2044: 0.977
2045: 0.991
2046: 1.006
2047: 1.021
2048: 1.037
2049: 1.053
2050: 1.070
Steady progression
2019: 0.170
2020: 0.172
2021: 0.189
2022: 0.206
2023: 0.223
2024: 0.248
2025: 0.252
2026: 0.272
2027: 0.347
2028: 0.353
2029: 0.357
2030: 0.363
2031: 0.369
2032: 0.417
2033: 0.662
2034: 0.670
2035: 0.770
2036: 0.780
2037: 0.791
2038: 0.841
2039: 0.851
2040: 0.859
2041: 0.868
2042: 0.875
2043: 0.882
2044: 0.889
2045: 0.896
2046: 0.944
2047: 0.951
2048: 0.958
2049: 1.002
2050: 1.009
Leading the way
2019: 0.170
2020: 0.172
2021: 0.237
2022: 0.303
2023: 0.370
2024: 0.380
2025: 0.393
2026: 0.444
2027: 0.530
2028: 0.556
2029: 0.580
2030: 0.607
2031: 0.638
2032: 0.772
2033: 1.092
2034: 1.134
2035: 1.221
2036: 1.271
2037: 1.325
2038: 1.456
2039: 1.537
2040: 1.594
2041: 1.656
2042: 1.742
2043: 1.805
2044: 1.870
2045: 1.936
2046: 2.045
2047: 2.117
2048: 2.191
2049: 2.317
2050: 2.398
NPg Planning Scenario
2019: 0.170
2020: 0.172
2021: 0.237
2022: 0.303
2023: 0.370
2024: 0.380
2025: 0.393
2026: 0.444
2027: 0.530
2028: 0.556
2029: 0.580
2030: 0.607
2031: 0.638
2032: 0.772
2033: 1.092
2034: 1.134
2035: 1.221
2036: 1.271
2037: 1.325
2038: 1.456
2039: 1.537
2040: 1.594
2041: 1.656
2042: 1.742
2043: 1.805
2044: 1.870
2045: 1.936
2046: 2.045
2047: 2.117
2048: 2.191
2049: 2.317
2050: 2.398
Figure 8: Renewable generation installed (GW)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Consumer transformation 2.939 6.437 10.297 14.084
System transformation 2.939 5.363 7.019 8.662
Steady progression 2.939 3.777 4.500 5.166
Leading the way 2.939 8.200 11.819 15.064
NPg Planning Scenario 2.939 8.200 11.819 15.064
0
5
10
15
Renewable generation (GW)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Consumer transformation
2019: 2.930
2020: 2.939
2021: 3.206
2022: 3.486
2023: 3.777
2024: 3.989
2025: 4.309
2026: 4.672
2027: 5.048
2028: 5.470
2029: 5.917
2030: 6.437
2031: 6.817
2032: 7.210
2033: 7.600
2034: 8.021
2035: 8.412
2036: 8.754
2037: 9.093
2038: 9.457
2039: 9.873
2040: 10.297
2041: 10.718
2042: 11.138
2043: 11.558
2044: 11.963
2045: 12.368
2046: 12.767
2047: 13.170
2048: 13.610
2049: 13.874
2050: 14.084
System transformation
2019: 2.930
2020: 2.939
2021: 3.193
2022: 3.452
2023: 3.712
2024: 3.870
2025: 4.060
2026: 4.265
2027: 4.486
2028: 4.740
2029: 5.013
2030: 5.363
2031: 5.559
2032: 5.761
2033: 5.951
2034: 6.165
2035: 6.340
2036: 6.457
2037: 6.561
2038: 6.682
2039: 6.850
2040: 7.019
2041: 7.188
2042: 7.357
2043: 7.526
2044: 7.684
2045: 7.843
2046: 8.003
2047: 8.163
2048: 8.325
2049: 8.487
2050: 8.662
Steady progression
2019: 2.930
2020: 2.939
2021: 3.065
2022: 3.187
2023: 3.309
2024: 3.350
2025: 3.394
2026: 3.439
2027: 3.502
2028: 3.575
2029: 3.662
2030: 3.777
2031: 3.863
2032: 3.959
2033: 4.053
2034: 4.166
2035: 4.254
2036: 4.294
2037: 4.334
2038: 4.374
2039: 4.434
2040: 4.500
2041: 4.567
2042: 4.633
2043: 4.700
2044: 4.766
2045: 4.833
2046: 4.899
2047: 4.966
2048: 5.033
2049: 5.099
2050: 5.166
Leading the way
2019: 2.930
2020: 2.939
2021: 3.334
2022: 3.741
2023: 4.160
2024: 4.630
2025: 5.186
2026: 5.786
2027: 6.390
2028: 6.996
2029: 7.590
2030: 8.200
2031: 8.582
2032: 8.981
2033: 9.374
2034: 9.776
2035: 10.130
2036: 10.435
2037: 10.714
2038: 11.033
2039: 11.401
2040: 11.819
2041: 12.233
2042: 12.665
2043: 13.069
2044: 13.428
2045: 13.755
2046: 14.062
2047: 14.374
2048: 14.691
2049: 14.906
2050: 15.064
NPg Planning Scenario
2019: 2.930
2020: 2.939
2021: 3.334
2022: 3.741
2023: 4.160
2024: 4.630
2025: 5.186
2026: 5.786
2027: 6.390
2028: 6.996
2029: 7.590
2030: 8.200
2031: 8.582
2032: 8.981
2033: 9.374
2034: 9.776
2035: 10.130
2036: 10.435
2037: 10.714
2038: 11.033
2039: 11.401
2040: 11.819
2041: 12.233
2042: 12.665
2043: 13.069
2044: 13.428
2045: 13.755
2046: 14.062
2047: 14.374
2048: 14.691
2049: 14.906
2050: 15.064
Figure 9: Electric bus and HGV uptake forecast (#)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Consumer transformation 197 5926 23018 43422
System transformation 197 3204 13688 26438
Steady progression 197 1240 3763 10270
Leading the way 197 3905 16678 29413
NPg Planning Scenario 32 18082 78337 90077
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
Number
2020
2030
2040
2050
Consumer transformation
2020: 197
2021: 545
2022: 876
2023: 1270
2024: 1730
2025: 2257
2026: 2833
2027: 3476
2028: 4189
2029: 5004
2030: 5926
2031: 6977
2032: 8162
2033: 9507
2034: 11005
2035: 12666
2036: 14486
2037: 16448
2038: 18549
2039: 20747
2040: 23018
2041: 25340
2042: 27694
2043: 30030
2044: 32386
2045: 34704
2046: 36956
2047: 39201
2048: 40844
2049: 42176
2050: 43422
System transformation
2020: 197
2021: 330
2022: 487
2023: 685
2024: 910
2025: 1173
2026: 1476
2027: 1828
2028: 2233
2029: 2686
2030: 3204
2031: 3816
2032: 4467
2033: 5204
2034: 6049
2035: 7007
2036: 8083
2037: 9289
2038: 10629
2039: 12102
2040: 13688
2041: 15384
2042: 17172
2043: 19014
2044: 20898
2045: 22801
2046: 24672
2047: 26051
2048: 26672
2049: 26791
2050: 26438
Steady progression
2020: 197
2021: 213
2022: 290
2023: 375
2024: 476
2025: 577
2026: 690
2027: 808
2028: 946
2029: 1088
2030: 1240
2031: 1410
2032: 1578
2033: 1759
2034: 1966
2035: 2192
2036: 2441
2037: 2725
2038: 3033
2039: 3374
2040: 3763
2041: 4186
2042: 4662
2043: 5188
2044: 5760
2045: 6386
2046: 7071
2047: 7807
2048: 8588
2049: 9415
2050: 10270
Leading the way
2020: 197
2021: 368
2022: 576
2023: 817
2024: 1106
2025: 1439
2026: 1813
2027: 2231
2028: 2709
2029: 3260
2030: 3905
2031: 4648
2032: 5504
2033: 6488
2034: 7600
2035: 8842
2036: 10213
2037: 11701
2038: 13298
2039: 14967
2040: 16678
2041: 18422
2042: 20180
2043: 21899
2044: 23623
2045: 25311
2046: 26933
2047: 28559
2048: 29559
2049: 29643
2050: 29413
NPg Planning Scenario
2020: 32
2021: 189
2022: 475
2023: 875
2024: 1398
2025: 2041
2026: 3553
2027: 5907
2028: 9118
2029: 13177
2030: 18082
2031: 23811
2032: 29946
2033: 36471
2034: 43360
2035: 50598
2036: 57286
2037: 63424
2038: 69010
2039: 73984
2040: 78337
2041: 81809
2042: 84562
2043: 86611
2044: 87985
2045: 88688
2046: 89089
2047: 89407
2048: 89638
2049: 89860
2050: 90077
Network data
Figure 10: Annual peak demand (GW)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Consumer transformation 6435.657 6838.714 9859.689 10639.019
System transformation 6450.936 6716.464 9565.290 10682.288
Steady progression 6450.936 7095.344 9462.638 10996.364
Leading the way 6435.657 6808.258 9484.047 9601.534
NPg Planning Scenario 6419.518 7535.860 10922.730 12389.359
NPg Planning Scenario without customer flexibility - - - 6421.894 7805.649 11606.147 13097.735
0
5,000
10,000
Annual peak demand (GW)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Consumer transformation
2019: 6451.295
2020: 6435.657
2021: 6323.062
2022: 6144.787
2023: 6071.748
2024: 6078.672
2025: 6114.350
2026: 6195.540
2027: 6303.175
2028: 6443.869
2029: 6617.271
2030: 6838.714
2031: 7156.736
2032: 7485.208
2033: 7815.813
2034: 8147.736
2035: 8473.614
2036: 8848.371
2037: 9147.964
2038: 9419.078
2039: 9654.365
2040: 9859.689
2041: 10045.127
2042: 10185.407
2043: 10291.379
2044: 10373.663
2045: 10432.982
2046: 10482.667
2047: 10535.277
2048: 10575.166
2049: 10609.975
2050: 10639.019
System transformation
2019: 6464.369
2020: 6450.936
2021: 6365.893
2022: 6281.173
2023: 6219.704
2024: 6189.982
2025: 6191.367
2026: 6248.851
2027: 6334.205
2028: 6439.442
2029: 6566.080
2030: 6716.464
2031: 6936.385
2032: 7153.606
2033: 7407.170
2034: 7690.248
2035: 7992.380
2036: 8319.238
2037: 8678.504
2038: 9008.162
2039: 9303.913
2040: 9565.290
2041: 9833.375
2042: 10017.273
2043: 10143.447
2044: 10246.077
2045: 10339.885
2046: 10454.113
2047: 10522.294
2048: 10587.200
2049: 10640.209
2050: 10682.288
Steady progression
2019: 6464.369
2020: 6450.936
2021: 6451.750
2022: 6554.428
2023: 6605.703
2024: 6646.312
2025: 6681.482
2026: 6722.905
2027: 6781.911
2028: 6863.428
2029: 6965.748
2030: 7095.344
2031: 7253.749
2032: 7425.361
2033: 7613.762
2034: 7818.176
2035: 8037.422
2036: 8312.727
2037: 8593.485
2038: 8885.627
2039: 9179.186
2040: 9462.638
2041: 9728.696
2042: 9954.428
2043: 10158.844
2044: 10340.618
2045: 10498.458
2046: 10624.167
2047: 10719.808
2048: 10813.216
2049: 10904.826
2050: 10996.364
Leading the way
2019: 6451.295
2020: 6435.657
2021: 6286.552
2022: 6054.563
2023: 5926.442
2024: 5901.495
2025: 5914.397
2026: 5983.423
2027: 6122.141
2028: 6326.334
2029: 6549.725
2030: 6808.258
2031: 7167.753
2032: 7542.350
2033: 7913.931
2034: 8267.441
2035: 8580.089
2036: 8856.899
2037: 9070.007
2038: 9252.690
2039: 9391.938
2040: 9484.047
2041: 9545.780
2042: 9559.851
2043: 9563.535
2044: 9586.705
2045: 9606.560
2046: 9629.285
2047: 9632.422
2048: 9628.274
2049: 9618.435
2050: 9601.534
NPg Planning Scenario
2019: 6450.011
2020: 6419.518
2021: 6282.917
2022: 6247.680
2023: 6267.347
2024: 6318.588
2025: 6402.069
2026: 6523.651
2027: 6688.591
2028: 6902.513
2029: 7173.191
2030: 7535.860
2031: 7855.838
2032: 8166.053
2033: 8524.570
2034: 8880.325
2035: 9289.285
2036: 9674.267
2037: 10016.167
2038: 10350.177
2039: 10662.491
2040: 10922.730
2041: 11148.339
2042: 11364.194
2043: 11567.075
2044: 11741.229
2045: 11903.944
2046: 12056.673
2047: 12210.300
2048: 12358.084
2049: 12380.248
2050: 12389.359
NPg Planning Scenario without customer flexibility
2019: 6451.157
2020: 6421.894
2021: 6288.552
2022: 6259.171
2023: 6286.506
2024: 6350.842
2025: 6455.342
2026: 6601.233
2027: 6798.929
2028: 7060.205
2029: 7382.019
2030: 7805.649
2031: 8185.540
2032: 8549.774
2033: 8952.283
2034: 9350.971
2035: 9815.468
2036: 10250.830
2037: 10629.718
2038: 10992.131
2039: 11326.808
2040: 11606.147
2041: 11843.420
2042: 12068.123
2043: 12277.025
2044: 12455.231
2045: 12619.813
2046: 12772.580
2047: 12925.406
2048: 13071.483
2049: 13091.250
2050: 13097.735
Figure 11: Network peak demand breakdown — Planning Scenario (GW)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Domestic 2.696 2.517 2.541 2.633
I & C 3.637 3.363 3.219 3.146
Heat pumps - domestic 0.021 0.596 2.207 3.117
Heat pumps - I & C 0.046 0.137 0.424 0.782
EV 0.021 1.056 2.700 2.808
0
1
2
3
Annual gross peak demand (GW)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Domestic
2020: 2.696
2021: 2.579
2022: 2.547
2023: 2.528
2024: 2.516
2025: 2.504
2026: 2.497
2027: 2.501
2028: 2.506
2029: 2.512
2030: 2.517
2031: 2.518
2032: 2.519
2033: 2.519
2034: 2.519
2035: 2.519
2036: 2.521
2037: 2.526
2038: 2.531
2039: 2.535
2040: 2.541
2041: 2.548
2042: 2.555
2043: 2.562
2044: 2.569
2045: 2.576
2046: 2.583
2047: 2.592
2048: 2.604
2049: 2.616
2050: 2.633
I & C
2020: 3.637
2021: 3.602
2022: 3.569
2023: 3.538
2024: 3.509
2025: 3.481
2026: 3.454
2027: 3.430
2028: 3.406
2029: 3.384
2030: 3.363
2031: 3.344
2032: 3.326
2033: 3.309
2034: 3.293
2035: 3.278
2036: 3.265
2037: 3.252
2038: 3.240
2039: 3.229
2040: 3.219
2041: 3.210
2042: 3.201
2043: 3.193
2044: 3.185
2045: 3.178
2046: 3.171
2047: 3.164
2048: 3.158
2049: 3.152
2050: 3.146
Heat pumps - domestic
2020: 0.021
2021: 0.026
2022: 0.032
2023: 0.040
2024: 0.049
2025: 0.079
2026: 0.129
2027: 0.197
2028: 0.296
2029: 0.427
2030: 0.596
2031: 0.735
2032: 0.873
2033: 1.042
2034: 1.216
2035: 1.396
2036: 1.569
2037: 1.739
2038: 1.908
2039: 2.075
2040: 2.207
2041: 2.336
2042: 2.466
2043: 2.594
2044: 2.703
2045: 2.810
2046: 2.915
2047: 3.024
2048: 3.129
2049: 3.125
2050: 3.117
Heat pumps - I & C
2020: 0.046
2021: 0.046
2022: 0.046
2023: 0.050
2024: 0.058
2025: 0.066
2026: 0.076
2027: 0.087
2028: 0.098
2029: 0.117
2030: 0.137
2031: 0.162
2032: 0.182
2033: 0.207
2034: 0.230
2035: 0.254
2036: 0.278
2037: 0.310
2038: 0.347
2039: 0.388
2040: 0.424
2041: 0.458
2042: 0.496
2043: 0.536
2044: 0.576
2045: 0.618
2046: 0.661
2047: 0.704
2048: 0.743
2049: 0.769
2050: 0.782
EV
2020: 0.021
2021: 0.034
2022: 0.061
2023: 0.124
2024: 0.210
2025: 0.311
2026: 0.418
2027: 0.540
2028: 0.685
2029: 0.844
2030: 1.056
2031: 1.250
2032: 1.432
2033: 1.618
2034: 1.795
2035: 2.031
2036: 2.241
2037: 2.386
2038: 2.514
2039: 2.614
2040: 2.700
2041: 2.752
2042: 2.792
2043: 2.819
2044: 2.837
2045: 2.845
2046: 2.845
2047: 2.841
2048: 2.833
2049: 2.821
2050: 2.808
Figure 12: Network energy consumption breakdown — Planning Scenario (TWh)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Domestic 12.644 11.806 11.919 12.352
I & C 23.696 21.915 20.973 20.498
Heat pumps - domestic 0.092 2.762 10.791 15.451
Heat pumps - I & C 0.161 0.512 1.663 3.117
EV 0.097 4.884 12.279 12.719
0
5
10
15
20
Network energy consumption (TWh)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Domestic
2020: 12.644
2021: 12.095
2022: 11.945
2023: 11.854
2024: 11.801
2025: 11.745
2026: 11.711
2027: 11.729
2028: 11.755
2029: 11.780
2030: 11.806
2031: 11.811
2032: 11.816
2033: 11.817
2034: 11.815
2035: 11.816
2036: 11.826
2037: 11.847
2038: 11.874
2039: 11.894
2040: 11.919
2041: 11.953
2042: 11.986
2043: 12.019
2044: 12.052
2045: 12.086
2046: 12.119
2047: 12.161
2048: 12.216
2049: 12.272
2050: 12.352
I & C
2020: 23.696
2021: 23.470
2022: 23.255
2023: 23.053
2024: 22.861
2025: 22.679
2026: 22.508
2027: 22.346
2028: 22.193
2029: 22.050
2030: 21.915
2031: 21.788
2032: 21.670
2033: 21.559
2034: 21.456
2035: 21.360
2036: 21.271
2037: 21.188
2038: 21.111
2039: 21.039
2040: 20.973
2041: 20.911
2042: 20.854
2043: 20.800
2044: 20.750
2045: 20.703
2046: 20.659
2047: 20.617
2048: 20.576
2049: 20.537
2050: 20.498
Heat pumps - domestic
2020: 0.092
2021: 0.114
2022: 0.160
2023: 0.213
2024: 0.270
2025: 0.413
2026: 0.651
2027: 0.971
2028: 1.427
2029: 1.999
2030: 2.762
2031: 3.387
2032: 4.052
2033: 4.830
2034: 5.658
2035: 6.589
2036: 7.455
2037: 8.292
2038: 9.143
2039: 9.999
2040: 10.791
2041: 11.587
2042: 12.321
2043: 12.975
2044: 13.541
2045: 14.057
2046: 14.530
2047: 15.018
2048: 15.493
2049: 15.496
2050: 15.451
Heat pumps - I & C
2020: 0.161
2021: 0.170
2022: 0.181
2023: 0.202
2024: 0.229
2025: 0.261
2026: 0.296
2027: 0.333
2028: 0.372
2029: 0.436
2030: 0.512
2031: 0.601
2032: 0.682
2033: 0.773
2034: 0.867
2035: 0.963
2036: 1.061
2037: 1.189
2038: 1.337
2039: 1.505
2040: 1.663
2041: 1.822
2042: 1.985
2043: 2.150
2044: 2.314
2045: 2.480
2046: 2.647
2047: 2.808
2048: 2.960
2049: 3.067
2050: 3.117
EV
2020: 0.097
2021: 0.156
2022: 0.280
2023: 0.572
2024: 0.970
2025: 1.441
2026: 1.938
2027: 2.502
2028: 3.171
2029: 3.906
2030: 4.884
2031: 5.779
2032: 6.610
2033: 7.454
2034: 8.255
2035: 9.319
2036: 10.255
2037: 10.897
2038: 11.458
2039: 11.900
2040: 12.279
2041: 12.506
2042: 12.678
2043: 12.795
2044: 12.873
2045: 12.907
2046: 12.904
2047: 12.882
2048: 12.840
2049: 12.783
2050: 12.719
Figure 13: Annual network energy consumption (TWh)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Consumer transformation 36.768 38.349 54.177 58.941
System transformation 36.768 37.301 48.970 52.716
Steady progression 36.768 39.556 48.937 54.871
Leading the way 36.768 38.150 51.998 52.914
NPg Planning Scenario 36.695 43.851 64.984 72.879
0
20
40
60
Energy consumption (TWh)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Consumer transformation
2019: 36.894
2020: 36.768
2021: 36.189
2022: 35.314
2023: 34.934
2024: 34.926
2025: 35.053
2026: 35.393
2027: 35.859
2028: 36.493
2029: 37.304
2030: 38.349
2031: 39.941
2032: 41.642
2033: 43.351
2034: 45.060
2035: 46.730
2036: 48.688
2037: 50.270
2038: 51.724
2039: 53.018
2040: 54.177
2041: 55.252
2042: 56.105
2043: 56.786
2044: 57.338
2045: 57.762
2046: 58.105
2047: 58.375
2048: 58.585
2049: 58.773
2050: 58.941
System transformation
2019: 36.894
2020: 36.768
2021: 36.347
2022: 35.899
2023: 35.560
2024: 35.370
2025: 35.323
2026: 35.510
2027: 35.818
2028: 36.215
2029: 36.706
2030: 37.301
2031: 38.208
2032: 39.138
2033: 40.219
2034: 41.422
2035: 42.694
2036: 44.064
2037: 45.492
2038: 46.799
2039: 47.960
2040: 48.970
2041: 49.954
2042: 50.650
2043: 51.081
2044: 51.419
2045: 51.725
2046: 52.080
2047: 52.284
2048: 52.477
2049: 52.619
2050: 52.716
Steady progression
2019: 36.894
2020: 36.768
2021: 36.788
2022: 37.279
2023: 37.531
2024: 37.732
2025: 37.908
2026: 38.053
2027: 38.280
2028: 38.606
2029: 39.020
2030: 39.556
2031: 40.169
2032: 40.835
2033: 41.580
2034: 42.397
2035: 43.280
2036: 44.359
2037: 45.478
2038: 46.647
2039: 47.819
2040: 48.937
2041: 49.985
2042: 50.894
2043: 51.710
2044: 52.432
2045: 53.046
2046: 53.488
2047: 53.844
2048: 54.190
2049: 54.530
2050: 54.871
Leading the way
2019: 36.894
2020: 36.768
2021: 35.988
2022: 34.847
2023: 34.190
2024: 34.014
2025: 34.014
2026: 34.285
2027: 34.881
2028: 35.795
2029: 36.883
2030: 38.150
2031: 40.001
2032: 41.893
2033: 43.769
2034: 45.560
2035: 47.170
2036: 48.608
2037: 49.706
2038: 50.669
2039: 51.441
2040: 51.998
2041: 52.425
2042: 52.611
2043: 52.717
2044: 52.833
2045: 52.918
2046: 53.014
2047: 53.050
2048: 53.051
2049: 53.001
2050: 52.914
NPg Planning Scenario
2019: 36.899
2020: 36.695
2021: 36.029
2022: 35.879
2023: 35.999
2024: 36.297
2025: 36.779
2026: 37.517
2027: 38.558
2028: 39.946
2029: 41.631
2030: 43.851
2031: 45.917
2032: 47.957
2033: 50.132
2034: 52.310
2035: 54.857
2036: 57.267
2037: 59.365
2038: 61.387
2039: 63.270
2040: 64.984
2041: 66.480
2042: 67.804
2043: 68.940
2044: 69.895
2045: 70.704
2046: 71.393
2047: 72.076
2048: 72.728
2049: 72.847
2050: 72.879
Figure 14: Network annual fuel consumption breakdown — Planning Scenario (GWh-yr)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Natural gas 54394 40278 16357 85
Hydrogen 2 133 2019 3948
Bioenergy 3686 2180 965 606
Petrol 75095 40536 5335 106
Solid fuel 833 415 106 9
Electricity 36463 43916 65050 72949
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
Fuel consumption (GWh-yr)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Natural gas
2020: 54394
2021: 53762
2022: 53133
2023: 52328
2024: 51489
2025: 50319
2026: 48890
2027: 47182
2028: 44942
2029: 42644
2030: 40278
2031: 38380
2032: 36353
2033: 34046
2034: 31416
2035: 28776
2036: 26268
2037: 23862
2038: 21438
2039: 18942
2040: 16357
2041: 13613
2042: 11150
2043: 8978
2044: 6891
2045: 5109
2046: 3496
2047: 1917
2048: 665
2049: 349
2050: 85
Hydrogen
2020: 2
2021: 6
2022: 9
2023: 10
2024: 13
2025: 16
2026: 18
2027: 22
2028: 27
2029: 32
2030: 133
2031: 238
2032: 346
2033: 487
2034: 645
2035: 829
2036: 1032
2037: 1223
2038: 1436
2039: 1674
2040: 2019
2041: 2453
2042: 2830
2043: 3094
2044: 3374
2045: 3566
2046: 3682
2047: 3791
2048: 3867
2049: 3944
2050: 3948
Bioenergy
2020: 3686
2021: 3637
2022: 3513
2023: 3378
2024: 3239
2025: 3108
2026: 2929
2027: 2723
2028: 2501
2029: 2339
2030: 2180
2031: 2055
2032: 1931
2033: 1814
2034: 1683
2035: 1505
2036: 1399
2037: 1293
2038: 1186
2039: 1076
2040: 965
2041: 855
2042: 744
2043: 640
2044: 624
2045: 617
2046: 615
2047: 612
2048: 610
2049: 608
2050: 606
Petrol
2020: 75095
2021: 75081
2022: 74044
2023: 71499
2024: 68656
2025: 65027
2026: 60284
2027: 55483
2028: 50471
2029: 45404
2030: 40536
2031: 35708
2032: 30555
2033: 25834
2034: 21571
2035: 17761
2036: 14571
2037: 11765
2038: 9307
2039: 7172
2040: 5335
2041: 3845
2042: 2645
2043: 1694
2044: 1077
2045: 668
2046: 439
2047: 272
2048: 195
2049: 142
2050: 106
Solid fuel
2020: 833
2021: 815
2022: 779
2023: 738
2024: 697
2025: 661
2026: 613
2027: 555
2028: 492
2029: 453
2030: 415
2031: 381
2032: 347
2033: 316
2034: 284
2035: 254
2036: 225
2037: 196
2038: 167
2039: 137
2040: 106
2041: 76
2042: 46
2043: 17
2044: 14
2045: 13
2046: 12
2047: 11
2048: 10
2049: 9
2050: 9
Electricity
2020: 36463
2021: 36094
2022: 35944
2023: 36062
2024: 36359
2025: 36840
2026: 37577
2027: 38620
2028: 40009
2029: 41694
2030: 43916
2031: 45982
2032: 48022
2033: 50197
2034: 52375
2035: 54922
2036: 57333
2037: 59431
2038: 61453
2039: 63336
2040: 65050
2041: 66546
2042: 67871
2043: 69007
2044: 69963
2045: 70772
2046: 71461
2047: 72145
2048: 72797
2049: 72917
2050: 72949
Figure 15: Additional industrial peak demand breakdown — Planning Scenario (MW)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Electric HGVs 0.217 118.275 463.484 548.453
Electric Buses 0.101 17.287 51.562 62.494
Electrolysers 0.000 0.455 12.796 12.995
Large industry Fuel Switching 0.000 207.499 459.672 660.720
0
200
400
600
Peak demand (MW)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Electric HGVs
2020: 0.217
2021: 1.027
2022: 2.431
2023: 4.428
2024: 7.019
2025: 10.203
2026: 20.040
2027: 36.057
2028: 57.962
2029: 85.465
2030: 118.275
2031: 156.041
2032: 193.398
2033: 230.308
2034: 266.735
2035: 302.638
2036: 340.147
2037: 374.988
2038: 407.158
2039: 436.658
2040: 463.484
2041: 484.726
2042: 502.172
2043: 515.823
2044: 525.679
2045: 531.741
2046: 535.100
2047: 538.450
2048: 541.792
2049: 545.127
2050: 548.453
Electric Buses
2020: 0.101
2021: 0.469
2022: 1.103
2023: 2.003
2024: 3.170
2025: 4.603
2026: 6.386
2027: 8.578
2028: 11.147
2029: 14.060
2030: 17.287
2031: 20.615
2032: 24.032
2033: 27.447
2034: 30.731
2035: 33.893
2036: 37.828
2037: 41.633
2038: 45.309
2039: 48.619
2040: 51.562
2041: 54.080
2042: 56.170
2043: 57.833
2044: 59.225
2045: 60.344
2046: 61.193
2047: 61.769
2048: 62.072
2049: 62.313
2050: 62.494
Electrolysers
2020: 0.000
2021: 0.000
2022: 0.000
2023: 0.000
2024: 0.000
2025: 0.000
2026: 0.094
2027: 0.173
2028: 0.227
2029: 0.262
2030: 0.455
2031: 1.021
2032: 1.974
2033: 3.281
2034: 4.895
2035: 6.093
2036: 7.581
2037: 9.062
2038: 10.424
2039: 11.642
2040: 12.796
2041: 13.624
2042: 14.119
2043: 14.350
2044: 14.370
2045: 14.236
2046: 13.944
2047: 13.655
2048: 13.379
2049: 13.155
2050: 12.995
Large industry Fuel Switching
2020: 0.000
2021: 15.285
2022: 30.570
2023: 45.855
2024: 61.140
2025: 76.426
2026: 102.640
2027: 128.855
2028: 155.069
2029: 181.284
2030: 207.499
2031: 230.555
2032: 253.611
2033: 276.668
2034: 299.724
2035: 322.780
2036: 350.159
2037: 377.537
2038: 404.916
2039: 432.294
2040: 459.672
2041: 499.882
2042: 540.091
2043: 580.301
2044: 620.511
2045: 660.720
2046: 660.720
2047: 660.720
2048: 660.720
2049: 660.720
2050: 660.720
Figure 16: Additional industrial energy consumption breakdown — Planning Scenario (GWh)
Scenario 2020 2030 2040 2050
Electric HGVs 2.893 1576.890 6179.334 7312.166
Electric Buses 2.314 395.380 1179.307 1429.327
Electrolysers 0.000 3.990 112.089 113.838
Large industry Fuel Switching 0.000 1817.689 4026.729 5787.908
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
Energy consumption (GWh)
2020
2030
2040
2050
Electric HGVs
2020: 2.893
2021: 13.697
2022: 32.413
2023: 59.040
2024: 93.579
2025: 136.029
2026: 267.186
2027: 480.723
2028: 772.769
2029: 1139.449
2030: 1576.890
2031: 2080.393
2032: 2578.449
2033: 3070.554
2034: 3556.201
2035: 4034.880
2036: 4534.961
2037: 4999.469
2038: 5428.380
2039: 5821.676
2040: 6179.334
2041: 6462.546
2042: 6695.143
2043: 6877.137
2044: 7008.539
2045: 7089.361
2046: 7134.140
2047: 7178.809
2048: 7223.370
2049: 7267.822
2050: 7312.166
Electric Buses
2020: 2.314
2021: 10.722
2022: 25.222
2023: 45.816
2024: 72.503
2025: 105.282
2026: 146.062
2027: 196.190
2028: 254.938
2029: 321.578
2030: 395.380
2031: 471.506
2032: 549.648
2033: 627.745
2034: 702.853
2035: 775.183
2036: 865.180
2037: 952.213
2038: 1036.278
2039: 1111.978
2040: 1179.307
2041: 1236.877
2042: 1284.685
2043: 1322.730
2044: 1354.557
2045: 1380.163
2046: 1399.572
2047: 1412.742
2048: 1419.668
2049: 1425.194
2050: 1429.327
Electrolysers
2020: 0.000
2021: 0.000
2022: 0.000
2023: 0.000
2024: 0.000
2025: 0.000
2026: 0.824
2027: 1.517
2028: 1.988
2029: 2.295
2030: 3.990
2031: 8.942
2032: 17.293
2033: 28.744
2034: 42.883
2035: 53.371
2036: 66.407
2037: 79.383
2038: 91.311
2039: 101.981
2040: 112.089
2041: 119.343
2042: 123.680
2043: 125.704
2044: 125.880
2045: 124.708
2046: 122.145
2047: 119.620
2048: 117.198
2049: 115.242
2050: 113.838
Large industry Fuel Switching
2020: 0.000
2021: 133.898
2022: 267.795
2023: 401.693
2024: 535.590
2025: 669.488
2026: 899.128
2027: 1128.768
2028: 1358.408
2029: 1588.048
2030: 1817.689
2031: 2019.662
2032: 2221.636
2033: 2423.609
2034: 2625.582
2035: 2827.556
2036: 3067.390
2037: 3307.225
2038: 3547.060
2039: 3786.894
2040: 4026.729
2041: 4378.965
2042: 4731.201
2043: 5083.437
2044: 5435.672
2045: 5787.908
2046: 5787.908
2047: 5787.908
2048: 5787.908
2049: 5787.908
2050: 5787.908