The following graphs are supplemental to Northern Powergrid's DFES 2023 interactive map . Each graph can be downloaded as a scalable-vector-graphic (SVG). The underlying data for each graph is also available as a CSV file.
Low carbon technologies
Figure 1: Electric vehicle uptake forecast (#)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Consumer Transformation 1938473 4318289 4734509 System Transformation 1847688 3941590 4363521 Leading The Way 1817732 3935422 4252384 NPg Best View 1817732 3935422 4252384 Falling Short 1214726 2804867 3188191
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
Number
2030
2040
2050
Consumer Transformation 2022: 86795 2023: 153049 2024: 291878 2025: 472997 2026: 733675 2027: 1000837 2028: 1287530 2029: 1587474 2030: 1938473 2031: 2287355 2032: 2622073 2033: 2939315 2034: 3234856 2035: 3489277 2036: 3701156 2037: 3889277 2038: 4054326 2039: 4197444 2040: 4318289 2041: 4411151 2042: 4486308 2043: 4546045 2044: 4593218 2045: 4631368 2046: 4655354 2047: 4676142 2048: 4696131 2049: 4715092 2050: 4734509
System Transformation 2022: 86795 2023: 153129 2024: 298536 2025: 483066 2026: 731753 2027: 987150 2028: 1261965 2029: 1550371 2030: 1847688 2031: 2143384 2032: 2427887 2033: 2697655 2034: 2949034 2035: 3180653 2036: 3373114 2037: 3544331 2038: 3695330 2039: 3827598 2040: 3941590 2041: 4031025 2042: 4105154 2043: 4166033 2044: 4216062 2045: 4257296 2046: 4284594 2047: 4307438 2048: 4327998 2049: 4346502 2050: 4363521
Leading The Way 2022: 86795 2023: 149290 2024: 283327 2025: 455591 2026: 698142 2027: 947257 2028: 1214648 2029: 1493231 2030: 1817732 2031: 2140619 2032: 2448543 2033: 2737620 2034: 3004082 2035: 3231138 2036: 3416975 2037: 3579054 2038: 3718860 2039: 3837763 2040: 3935422 2041: 4013092 2042: 4074428 2043: 4121030 2044: 4155753 2045: 4181910 2046: 4199614 2047: 4214006 2048: 4227027 2049: 4239591 2050: 4252384
NPg Best View 2022: 86795 2023: 149290 2024: 283327 2025: 455591 2026: 698142 2027: 947257 2028: 1214648 2029: 1493231 2030: 1817732 2031: 2140619 2032: 2448543 2033: 2737620 2034: 3004082 2035: 3231138 2036: 3416975 2037: 3579054 2038: 3718860 2039: 3837763 2040: 3935422 2041: 4013092 2042: 4074428 2043: 4121030 2044: 4155753 2045: 4181910 2046: 4199614 2047: 4214006 2048: 4227027 2049: 4239591 2050: 4252384
Falling Short 2022: 86795 2023: 137218 2024: 207919 2025: 302845 2026: 429311 2027: 578584 2028: 768010 2029: 991882 2030: 1214726 2031: 1434570 2032: 1644820 2033: 1843876 2034: 2029797 2035: 2202354 2036: 2347071 2037: 2479110 2038: 2599270 2039: 2708008 2040: 2804867 2041: 2884593 2042: 2952783 2043: 3009550 2044: 3056381 2045: 3094188 2046: 3119887 2047: 3140904 2048: 3158494 2049: 3174142 2050: 3188191
Figure 2: Electric vehicle penetration of total car stock (%)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 NPg Best View 39.5043314 86.4832858 99.8754853
0
20
40
60
80
100
EVs (%)
2030
2040
2050
NPg Best View 2022: 1.9095797 2023: 3.279474 2024: 6.2143092 2025: 9.9772872 2026: 15.2656243 2027: 20.6810754 2028: 26.4783698 2029: 32.5015689 2030: 39.5043314 2031: 46.4629536 2032: 53.1075541 2033: 59.3650593 2034: 65.1638306 2035: 70.1480388 2036: 74.2840768 2037: 77.9553131 2038: 81.1973364 2039: 84.0421623 2040: 86.4832858 2041: 88.5480398 2042: 90.3161619 2043: 91.8220352 2044: 93.1279923 2045: 94.307414 2046: 95.3623905 2047: 96.4096873 2048: 97.4956518 2049: 98.6443382 2050: 99.8754853
Figure 3: Total number of heat pumps (#)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Consumer Transformation 349942 1430085 3126136 System Transformation 200303 662282 2153549 Leading The Way 454906 2410792 3240100 NPg Best View 349942 1430085 3126136 Falling Short 182353 371302 497660
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
Number
2030
2040
2050
Consumer Transformation 2022: 49147 2023: 64273 2024: 86121 2025: 131735 2026: 194130 2027: 268840 2028: 299538 2029: 324625 2030: 349942 2031: 375497 2032: 401208 2033: 426601 2034: 453136 2035: 511397 2036: 704073 2037: 897016 2038: 1085581 2039: 1267598 2040: 1430085 2041: 1576139 2042: 1709222 2043: 1886972 2044: 2070872 2045: 2254907 2046: 2437740 2047: 2620217 2048: 2802473 2049: 2984685 2050: 3126136
System Transformation 2022: 49147 2023: 60069 2024: 75765 2025: 92793 2026: 111231 2027: 131174 2028: 151986 2029: 174392 2030: 200303 2031: 226400 2032: 252592 2033: 278377 2034: 305266 2035: 373010 2036: 401267 2037: 448407 2038: 509499 2039: 581507 2040: 662282 2041: 748632 2042: 845025 2043: 954993 2044: 1081947 2045: 1227539 2046: 1391575 2047: 1567104 2048: 1754283 2049: 1954452 2050: 2153549
Leading The Way 2022: 49147 2023: 66184 2024: 92622 2025: 152241 2026: 231504 2027: 321835 2028: 359933 2029: 386562 2030: 454906 2031: 663193 2032: 871487 2033: 1076152 2034: 1277159 2035: 1476877 2036: 1678542 2037: 1878427 2038: 2072628 2039: 2256264 2040: 2410792 2041: 2547100 2042: 2673767 2043: 2852571 2044: 3042645 2045: 3191142 2046: 3200769 2047: 3210463 2048: 3220169 2049: 3229910 2050: 3240100
NPg Best View 2022: 49147 2023: 64273 2024: 86121 2025: 131735 2026: 194130 2027: 268840 2028: 299538 2029: 324625 2030: 349942 2031: 375497 2032: 401208 2033: 426601 2034: 453136 2035: 511397 2036: 704073 2037: 897016 2038: 1085581 2039: 1267598 2040: 1430085 2041: 1576139 2042: 1709222 2043: 1886972 2044: 2070872 2045: 2254907 2046: 2437740 2047: 2620217 2048: 2802473 2049: 2984685 2050: 3126136
Falling Short 2022: 49147 2023: 58995 2024: 63959 2025: 80868 2026: 99091 2027: 118823 2028: 139351 2029: 160584 2030: 182353 2031: 204283 2032: 226319 2033: 248027 2034: 266531 2035: 287870 2036: 310581 2037: 331379 2038: 345160 2039: 358224 2040: 371302 2041: 384405 2042: 397590 2043: 410663 2044: 423696 2045: 436770 2046: 449918 2047: 463082 2048: 476249 2049: 488549 2050: 497660
Figure 4: Battery storage capacity installed (GW)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Consumer Transformation 1.056679177 1.653250783 2.398813678 System Transformation 0.826631752 1.115016562 1.431120217 Leading The Way 0.777435934 1.410117878 2.2321042 NPg Best View 1.333171009 2.054812906 2.830887288 Falling Short 0.546405473 0.674434447 0.981049895
0
1
2
Installed capacity (GW)
2030
2040
2050
Consumer Transformation 2022: 0.201818949 2023: 0.438388362 2024: 0.666669323 2025: 0.89629022 2026: 0.91223424 2027: 0.928571206 2028: 0.949045553 2029: 0.967047565 2030: 1.056679177 2031: 1.081080323 2032: 1.110653707 2033: 1.156505912 2034: 1.195753429 2035: 1.269108927 2036: 1.32521968 2037: 1.391256652 2038: 1.485740598 2039: 1.567652381 2040: 1.653250783 2041: 1.726365321 2042: 1.806131982 2043: 1.863164478 2044: 1.930511181 2045: 1.990665403 2046: 2.094709519 2047: 2.161202124 2048: 2.230872059 2049: 2.321739615 2050: 2.398813678
System Transformation 2022: 0.196857903 2023: 0.398944205 2024: 0.598310071 2025: 0.798156265 2026: 0.80331097 2027: 0.808343452 2028: 0.814658454 2029: 0.820067979 2030: 0.826631752 2031: 0.833393535 2032: 0.844040494 2033: 0.866145157 2034: 0.939716664 2035: 0.949890597 2036: 1.05944531 2037: 1.075319544 2038: 1.089085755 2039: 1.102036117 2040: 1.115016562 2041: 1.194687244 2042: 1.265754034 2043: 1.280514791 2044: 1.327775535 2045: 1.343170636 2046: 1.359459697 2047: 1.376100121 2048: 1.393693552 2049: 1.412001492 2050: 1.431120217
Leading The Way 2022: 0.200970897 2023: 0.345845614 2024: 0.48281428 2025: 0.621196077 2026: 0.637809953 2027: 0.697887893 2028: 0.719618751 2029: 0.74829695 2030: 0.777435934 2031: 0.808538489 2032: 0.840512813 2033: 0.897429032 2034: 1.005539062 2035: 1.087840965 2036: 1.153487038 2037: 1.205115804 2038: 1.261324043 2039: 1.353378963 2040: 1.410117878 2041: 1.472600453 2042: 1.554162853 2043: 1.619826844 2044: 1.687676348 2045: 1.775198146 2046: 1.877521724 2047: 1.955183765 2048: 2.036429835 2049: 2.142054176 2050: 2.2321042
NPg Best View 2022: 0.201818949 2023: 0.481125692 2024: 0.77503719 2025: 1.076262415 2026: 1.117138722 2027: 1.156770093 2028: 1.192756647 2029: 1.219481647 2030: 1.333171009 2031: 1.356384332 2032: 1.387796703 2033: 1.441012417 2034: 1.477104464 2035: 1.571058993 2036: 1.628148886 2037: 1.710261518 2038: 1.827780051 2039: 1.942295735 2040: 2.054812906 2041: 2.137612431 2042: 2.237854253 2043: 2.307484516 2044: 2.37498958 2045: 2.426959145 2046: 2.538360079 2047: 2.598632944 2048: 2.663119779 2049: 2.756597179 2050: 2.830887288
Falling Short 2022: 0.198251652 2023: 0.248654254 2024: 0.295679436 2025: 0.342993514 2026: 0.497656482 2027: 0.503013622 2028: 0.509388209 2029: 0.513254393 2030: 0.546405473 2031: 0.551350254 2032: 0.556287501 2033: 0.563842157 2034: 0.582551315 2035: 0.590133637 2036: 0.599178068 2037: 0.609120004 2038: 0.620490317 2039: 0.62906328 2040: 0.674434447 2041: 0.683444198 2042: 0.690508642 2043: 0.698414591 2044: 0.706130703 2045: 0.769734926 2046: 0.815164309 2047: 0.824057528 2048: 0.931069991 2049: 0.968229917 2050: 0.981049895
Figure 5: Renewable generation installed (GW)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Consumer Transformation 5922.226153 10214.67277 14173.55207 System Transformation 5187.619034 7126.995515 9210.173616 Leading The Way 6722.909857 10887.69888 14416.72323 NPg Best View 6849.482607 11585.63863 15394.47398 Falling Short 4279.668456 5413.956007 7043.38033
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
Renewable generation (GW)
2030
2040
2050
Consumer Transformation 2022: 3017.102221 2023: 3674.610972 2024: 4104.472315 2025: 4556.591984 2026: 4737.644839 2027: 4935.494418 2028: 5216.514075 2029: 5550.316855 2030: 5922.226153 2031: 6337.386018 2032: 6779.682217 2033: 7150.240068 2034: 7624.024034 2035: 8020.53607 2036: 8444.190277 2037: 8835.981551 2038: 9269.443836 2039: 9707.877092 2040: 10214.67277 2041: 10697.67691 2042: 11212.93972 2043: 11649.80625 2044: 12123.01025 2045: 12566.77244 2046: 12940.88475 2047: 13248.05928 2048: 13559.95093 2049: 13873.35689 2050: 14173.55207
System Transformation 2022: 3017.102221 2023: 3651.305541 2024: 4048.369636 2025: 4451.853584 2026: 4573.686057 2027: 4702.141946 2028: 4821.218925 2029: 4978.801479 2030: 5187.619034 2031: 5416.894823 2032: 5655.350317 2033: 5855.733677 2034: 6108.481886 2035: 6292.732709 2036: 6472.066361 2037: 6603.847288 2038: 6762.307908 2039: 6910.276526 2040: 7126.995515 2041: 7325.358502 2042: 7553.982171 2043: 7755.473533 2044: 7973.969675 2045: 8191.761133 2046: 8350.974089 2047: 8574.877351 2048: 8792.349718 2049: 9016.24079 2050: 9210.173616
Leading The Way 2022: 3017.102221 2023: 3863.087983 2024: 4481.550336 2025: 5122.265016 2026: 5388.276871 2027: 5669.60855 2028: 5986.891357 2029: 6344.282137 2030: 6722.909857 2031: 7146.812793 2032: 7601.599095 2033: 8016.47844 2034: 8475.064767 2035: 8876.862639 2036: 9253.51898 2037: 9600.44678 2038: 9975.613168 2039: 10398.26514 2040: 10887.69888 2041: 11348.43409 2042: 11794.91983 2043: 12270.3411 2044: 12679.37712 2045: 13022.7719 2046: 13333.04459 2047: 13600.08967 2048: 13872.37507 2049: 14147.48875 2050: 14416.72323
NPg Best View 2022: 3017.102221 2023: 3867.822983 2024: 4491.020336 2025: 5136.470016 2026: 5407.216871 2027: 5694.31045 2028: 6044.993107 2029: 6437.462887 2030: 6849.482607 2031: 7310.648543 2032: 7806.440845 2033: 8266.11419 2034: 8773.099517 2035: 9231.097389 2036: 9668.89173 2037: 10082.20953 2038: 10529.40792 2039: 11030.11189 2040: 11585.63863 2041: 12110.63884 2042: 12622.00358 2043: 13162.56185 2044: 13625.28587 2045: 14021.37365 2046: 14348.11934 2047: 14608.22042 2048: 14873.35182 2049: 15140.3615 2050: 15394.47398
Falling Short 2022: 3017.102221 2023: 3502.11639 2024: 3721.514177 2025: 3923.984979 2026: 3984.684582 2027: 4054.579693 2028: 4112.300342 2029: 4184.466523 2030: 4279.668456 2031: 4400.176736 2032: 4545.914944 2033: 4677.788495 2034: 4833.452258 2035: 4959.508445 2036: 5056.440278 2037: 5127.42196 2038: 5203.046142 2039: 5276.371289 2040: 5413.956007 2041: 5558.392201 2042: 5703.959123 2043: 5853.851647 2044: 6012.96988 2045: 6181.918368 2046: 6354.789959 2047: 6533.237463 2048: 6714.500634 2049: 6879.576829 2050: 7043.38033
Figure 6: Electric bus and HGV uptake forecast (#)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Consumer Transformation 16537 70861 86438 System Transformation 16264 67685 82044 Leading The Way 20913 74156 84316 NPg Best View 20913 74156 84316 Falling Short 13561 62214 84004
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
Number
2030
2040
2050
Consumer Transformation 2022: 674 2023: 1102 2024: 1854 2025: 2927 2026: 4434 2027: 6482 2028: 9161 2029: 12519 2030: 16537 2031: 21136 2032: 26235 2033: 31762 2034: 37630 2035: 43706 2036: 49806 2037: 55729 2038: 61296 2039: 66371 2040: 70861 2041: 74713 2042: 77900 2043: 80433 2044: 82361 2045: 83769 2046: 84761 2047: 85444 2048: 85908 2049: 86222 2050: 86438
System Transformation 2022: 674 2023: 1102 2024: 1849 2025: 2910 2026: 4394 2027: 6407 2028: 9032 2029: 12327 2030: 16264 2031: 20757 2032: 25697 2033: 31011 2034: 36606 2035: 42354 2036: 48086 2037: 53624 2038: 58810 2039: 63523 2040: 67685 2041: 71252 2042: 74204 2043: 76549 2044: 78334 2045: 79635 2046: 80549 2047: 81171 2048: 81587 2049: 81862 2050: 82044
Leading The Way 2022: 674 2023: 1266 2024: 2245 2025: 3636 2026: 5594 2027: 8238 2028: 11657 2029: 15898 2030: 20913 2031: 26561 2032: 32640 2033: 38945 2034: 45241 2035: 51323 2036: 57027 2037: 62235 2038: 66855 2039: 70833 2040: 74156 2041: 76856 2042: 78988 2043: 80618 2044: 81826 2045: 82694 2046: 83300 2047: 83714 2048: 83994 2049: 84184 2050: 84316
NPg Best View 2022: 674 2023: 1266 2024: 2245 2025: 3636 2026: 5594 2027: 8238 2028: 11657 2029: 15898 2030: 20913 2031: 26561 2032: 32640 2033: 38945 2034: 45241 2035: 51323 2036: 57027 2037: 62235 2038: 66855 2039: 70833 2040: 74156 2041: 76856 2042: 78988 2043: 80618 2044: 81826 2045: 82694 2046: 83300 2047: 83714 2048: 83994 2049: 84184 2050: 84316
Falling Short 2022: 674 2023: 996 2024: 1595 2025: 2451 2026: 3650 2027: 5286 2028: 7445 2029: 10200 2030: 13561 2031: 17467 2032: 21810 2033: 26469 2034: 31347 2035: 36387 2036: 41562 2037: 46841 2038: 52137 2039: 57311 2040: 62214 2041: 66716 2042: 70715 2043: 74153 2044: 77002 2045: 79263 2046: 80975 2047: 82207 2048: 83058 2049: 83628 2050: 84004
Network data
Figure 7: Annual peak demand (GW)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Consumer Transformation 7650.910626 10482.25698 13024.31081 System Transformation 7650.820764 10044.95934 13175.17392 Leading The Way 7742.013068 11675.73164 12673.99236 NPg Best View (no TouT) 7641.576486 10353.40721 12811.94753 Falling Short 7376.352363 8786.803046 9370.306132 NPg Best View 7448.612809 9994.440387 12433.63611
0
5,000
10,000
Annual peak demand (GW)
2030
2040
2050
Consumer Transformation 2022: 5995.712559 2023: 6231.897847 2024: 6499.512521 2025: 6711.526093 2026: 6891.562474 2027: 7130.193904 2028: 7309.759074 2029: 7451.406292 2030: 7650.910626 2031: 7831.09897 2032: 7996.184655 2033: 8153.15143 2034: 8302.381687 2035: 8722.192824 2036: 9110.719048 2037: 9487.388771 2038: 9845.89915 2039: 10183.8288 2040: 10482.25698 2041: 10744.06309 2042: 10977.08038 2043: 11256.77734 2044: 11533.48964 2045: 11803.1248 2046: 12063.01837 2047: 12319.05521 2048: 12572.39372 2049: 12823.54179 2050: 13024.31081
System Transformation 2022: 6021.497055 2023: 6268.849153 2024: 6555.100224 2025: 6760.646909 2026: 6909.930106 2027: 7103.895986 2028: 7293.259839 2029: 7452.669477 2030: 7650.820764 2031: 7826.761395 2032: 7995.787189 2033: 8160.513242 2034: 8321.669756 2035: 8792.788657 2036: 9049.113617 2037: 9299.074447 2038: 9547.625773 2039: 9797.27353 2040: 10044.95934 2041: 10285.23721 2042: 10531.18934 2043: 10791.74396 2044: 11072.05218 2045: 11377.46327 2046: 11704.49413 2047: 12051.0731 2048: 12414.03982 2049: 12796.33046 2050: 13175.17392
Leading The Way 2022: 5995.712559 2023: 6231.096783 2024: 6498.81177 2025: 6720.34205 2026: 6916.798092 2027: 7169.978353 2028: 7351.555524 2029: 7492.840604 2030: 7742.013068 2031: 8202.527517 2032: 8643.329692 2033: 9068.461146 2034: 9474.334362 2035: 10095.41165 2036: 10457.55682 2037: 10802.83569 2038: 11126.72912 2039: 11425.72523 2040: 11675.73164 2041: 11890.77339 2042: 12083.31242 2043: 12327.86568 2044: 12574.18742 2045: 12767.05758 2046: 12747.90383 2047: 12728.43257 2048: 12709.65617 2049: 12691.29411 2050: 12673.99236
NPg Best View (no TouT) 2022: 5995.712559 2023: 6230.403368 2024: 6495.350229 2025: 6703.510658 2026: 6883.662883 2027: 7124.200686 2028: 7302.134749 2029: 7444.882573 2030: 7641.576486 2031: 7817.181574 2032: 7979.144442 2033: 8132.433734 2034: 8274.36738 2035: 8682.406232 2036: 9055.534501 2037: 9414.896822 2038: 9754.757657 2039: 10073.51204 2040: 10353.40721 2041: 10599.83546 2042: 10819.07917 2043: 11086.85799 2044: 11353.13069 2045: 11614.21599 2046: 11868.50096 2047: 12119.52803 2048: 12368.50272 2049: 12615.28609 2050: 12811.94753
Falling Short 2022: 6021.389369 2023: 6273.484491 2024: 6513.526702 2025: 6675.287739 2026: 6768.777811 2027: 6913.64966 2028: 7073.196722 2029: 7213.073379 2030: 7376.352363 2031: 7514.08702 2032: 7645.146006 2033: 7772.551206 2034: 7893.282672 2035: 8256.141417 2036: 8373.665246 2037: 8489.700199 2038: 8593.375873 2039: 8692.856329 2040: 8786.803046 2041: 8872.715631 2042: 8952.076715 2043: 9023.896906 2044: 9089.046096 2045: 9148.114761 2046: 9200.033328 2047: 9248.178769 2048: 9293.668968 2049: 9336.142927 2050: 9370.306132
NPg Best View 2022: 5986.164637 2023: 6206.841958 2024: 6452.951423 2025: 6636.263825 2026: 6790.132732 2027: 7002.638896 2028: 7157.985186 2029: 7277.915904 2030: 7448.612809 2031: 7598.457178 2032: 7734.11356 2033: 7863.489208 2034: 7984.231654 2035: 8375.205427 2036: 8734.315833 2037: 9081.68122 2038: 9411.37057 2039: 9721.472159 2040: 9994.440387 2041: 10235.59242 2042: 10450.83327 2043: 10715.73875 2044: 10980.03499 2045: 11239.68112 2046: 11493.23124 2047: 11743.62515 2048: 11991.85622 2049: 12237.85302 2050: 12433.63611
Figure 8: Network peak demand breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (GW)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Domestic 1.932 1.906 1.830 I & C 4.357 4.464 4.395 Heat pumps - domestic 0.311 1.471 3.333 Heat pumps - I & C 0.102 0.510 1.114 EV 0.644 1.242 1.317
0
1
2
3
4
Annual gross peak demand (GW)
2030
2040
2050
Domestic 2022: 1.901 2023: 1.894 2024: 1.896 2025: 1.897 2026: 1.902 2027: 1.905 2028: 1.915 2029: 1.924 2030: 1.932 2031: 1.942 2032: 1.944 2033: 1.946 2034: 1.948 2035: 1.948 2036: 1.939 2037: 1.931 2038: 1.923 2039: 1.914 2040: 1.906 2041: 1.898 2042: 1.891 2043: 1.883 2044: 1.875 2045: 1.867 2046: 1.859 2047: 1.851 2048: 1.843 2049: 1.836 2050: 1.830
I & C 2022: 3.947 2023: 4.136 2024: 4.299 2025: 4.362 2026: 4.345 2027: 4.364 2028: 4.377 2029: 4.353 2030: 4.357 2031: 4.339 2032: 4.322 2033: 4.306 2034: 4.291 2035: 4.517 2036: 4.505 2037: 4.494 2038: 4.483 2039: 4.473 2040: 4.464 2041: 4.456 2042: 4.448 2043: 4.440 2044: 4.433 2045: 4.426 2046: 4.420 2047: 4.414 2048: 4.407 2049: 4.401 2050: 4.395
Heat pumps - domestic 2022: 0.043 2023: 0.053 2024: 0.072 2025: 0.118 2026: 0.185 2027: 0.265 2028: 0.284 2029: 0.297 2030: 0.311 2031: 0.324 2032: 0.337 2033: 0.351 2034: 0.365 2035: 0.426 2036: 0.647 2037: 0.868 2038: 1.083 2039: 1.289 2040: 1.471 2041: 1.631 2042: 1.776 2043: 1.977 2044: 2.183 2045: 2.387 2046: 2.589 2047: 2.790 2048: 2.989 2049: 3.187 2050: 3.333
Heat pumps - I & C 2022: 0.042 2023: 0.046 2024: 0.051 2025: 0.055 2026: 0.060 2027: 0.071 2028: 0.082 2029: 0.092 2030: 0.102 2031: 0.110 2032: 0.119 2033: 0.127 2034: 0.135 2035: 0.143 2036: 0.220 2037: 0.296 2038: 0.370 2039: 0.442 2040: 0.510 2041: 0.576 2042: 0.639 2043: 0.701 2044: 0.762 2045: 0.823 2046: 0.883 2047: 0.942 2048: 1.000 2049: 1.057 2050: 1.114
EV 2022: 0.051 2023: 0.073 2024: 0.128 2025: 0.192 2026: 0.278 2027: 0.363 2028: 0.449 2029: 0.537 2030: 0.644 2031: 0.747 2032: 0.838 2033: 0.921 2034: 0.995 2035: 1.056 2036: 1.106 2037: 1.149 2038: 1.186 2039: 1.217 2040: 1.242 2041: 1.262 2042: 1.277 2043: 1.288 2044: 1.296 2045: 1.301 2046: 1.305 2047: 1.307 2048: 1.310 2049: 1.313 2050: 1.317
Figure 9: Network energy consumption breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (TWh)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Domestic 10.52 10.36 9.94 I & C 23.19 22.84 22.43 Heat pumps - domestic 1.26 5.94 13.45 Heat pumps - I & C 0.35 1.74 3.80 EV 4.53 8.82 9.33
0
5
10
15
20
Network energy consumption (TWh)
2030
2040
2050
Domestic 2022: 10.51 2023: 10.46 2024: 10.46 2025: 10.45 2026: 10.46 2027: 10.46 2028: 10.48 2029: 10.50 2030: 10.52 2031: 10.56 2032: 10.57 2033: 10.58 2034: 10.59 2035: 10.59 2036: 10.54 2037: 10.49 2038: 10.45 2039: 10.40 2040: 10.36 2041: 10.31 2042: 10.27 2043: 10.23 2044: 10.18 2045: 10.14 2046: 10.10 2047: 10.06 2048: 10.01 2049: 9.97 2050: 9.94
I & C 2022: 23.21 2023: 23.49 2024: 23.69 2025: 23.74 2026: 23.63 2027: 23.52 2028: 23.39 2029: 23.27 2030: 23.19 2031: 23.09 2032: 22.99 2033: 22.90 2034: 22.82 2035: 23.15 2036: 23.08 2037: 23.01 2038: 22.95 2039: 22.89 2040: 22.84 2041: 22.79 2042: 22.74 2043: 22.70 2044: 22.66 2045: 22.62 2046: 22.58 2047: 22.54 2048: 22.51 2049: 22.47 2050: 22.43
Heat pumps - domestic 2022: 0.17 2023: 0.22 2024: 0.29 2025: 0.48 2026: 0.75 2027: 1.07 2028: 1.15 2029: 1.21 2030: 1.26 2031: 1.32 2032: 1.37 2033: 1.43 2034: 1.48 2035: 1.73 2036: 2.62 2037: 3.51 2038: 4.37 2039: 5.20 2040: 5.94 2041: 6.58 2042: 7.17 2043: 7.97 2044: 8.80 2045: 9.63 2046: 10.44 2047: 11.25 2048: 12.06 2049: 12.86 2050: 13.45
Heat pumps - I & C 2022: 0.14 2023: 0.16 2024: 0.17 2025: 0.19 2026: 0.20 2027: 0.24 2028: 0.28 2029: 0.31 2030: 0.35 2031: 0.38 2032: 0.40 2033: 0.43 2034: 0.46 2035: 0.49 2036: 0.75 2037: 1.01 2038: 1.26 2039: 1.51 2040: 1.74 2041: 1.97 2042: 2.18 2043: 2.39 2044: 2.60 2045: 2.81 2046: 3.01 2047: 3.21 2048: 3.41 2049: 3.61 2050: 3.80
EV 2022: 0.28 2023: 0.45 2024: 0.83 2025: 1.28 2026: 1.90 2027: 2.51 2028: 3.12 2029: 3.76 2030: 4.53 2031: 5.27 2032: 5.92 2033: 6.52 2034: 7.05 2035: 7.48 2036: 7.84 2037: 8.15 2038: 8.41 2039: 8.64 2040: 8.82 2041: 8.96 2042: 9.06 2043: 9.14 2044: 9.19 2045: 9.23 2046: 9.25 2047: 9.27 2048: 9.29 2049: 9.31 2050: 9.33
Figure 10: Annual network energy consumption (TWh)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Consumer Transformation 41.09462038 55.69397836 66.30597254 System Transformation 40.82910956 52.62835204 62.40102192 Leading The Way 41.71402577 60.16724762 64.39168111 NPg Best View 41.30833228 55.1256804 64.97268753 Falling Short 39.39159298 47.71339334 51.55291089
0
20
40
60
Energy consumption (TWh)
2030
2040
2050
Consumer Transformation 2022: 34.34733833 2023: 34.84644563 2024: 35.57535039 2025: 36.36646229 2026: 37.26678678 2027: 38.26813766 2028: 39.09619909 2029: 39.97125507 2030: 41.09462038 2031: 42.24653865 2032: 43.34051017 2033: 44.41529415 2034: 45.47076288 2035: 47.05510879 2036: 48.99541342 2037: 50.86550499 2038: 52.62764054 2039: 54.26455526 2040: 55.69397836 2041: 56.92199515 2042: 57.98938131 2043: 59.19923197 2044: 60.36496903 2045: 61.47432731 2046: 62.51932812 2047: 63.5364826 2048: 64.53570829 2049: 65.5218708 2050: 66.30597254
System Transformation 2022: 34.34089559 2023: 34.89065703 2024: 35.68922515 2025: 36.44470566 2026: 37.19447935 2027: 37.99047184 2028: 38.84225877 2029: 39.7739094 2030: 40.82910956 2031: 41.90113566 2032: 42.9578764 2033: 44.01452554 2034: 45.06608829 2035: 46.68838288 2036: 47.98068283 2037: 49.22708236 2038: 50.41909971 2039: 51.55851418 2040: 52.62835204 2041: 53.60880521 2042: 54.54316016 2043: 55.45681479 2044: 56.37379682 2045: 57.31606815 2046: 58.2736318 2047: 59.26559362 2048: 60.2874321 2049: 61.34948532 2050: 62.40102192
Leading The Way 2022: 34.34733833 2023: 34.84853798 2024: 35.58450099 2025: 36.42313189 2026: 37.41521839 2027: 38.51635273 2028: 39.39681423 2029: 40.32918881 2030: 41.71402577 2031: 44.00487293 2032: 46.21638573 2033: 48.36114363 2034: 50.40425045 2035: 52.72096066 2036: 54.49348439 2037: 56.14948697 2038: 57.66938832 2039: 59.04034782 2040: 60.16724762 2041: 61.11076444 2042: 61.93003008 2043: 62.92941196 2044: 63.91987368 2045: 64.68402108 2046: 64.63113091 2047: 64.57068784 2048: 64.51008705 2049: 64.44890212 2050: 64.39168111
NPg Best View 2022: 34.34733833 2023: 34.846731 2024: 35.57171164 2025: 36.35623007 2026: 37.28059518 2027: 38.32649679 2028: 39.19078451 2029: 40.13020927 2030: 41.30833228 2031: 42.51130136 2032: 43.65830463 2033: 44.76653018 2034: 45.80497595 2035: 47.31629541 2036: 49.1321137 2037: 50.84420537 2038: 52.42808037 2039: 53.87874693 2040: 55.1256804 2041: 56.19611411 2042: 57.12528905 2043: 58.2190922 2044: 59.2891259 2045: 60.32396695 2046: 61.31911793 2047: 62.29550939 2048: 63.26125879 2049: 64.21646727 2050: 64.97268753
Falling Short 2022: 34.33694283 2023: 34.91137952 2024: 35.49981841 2025: 36.02972018 2026: 36.48804128 2027: 37.03631811 2028: 37.71725471 2029: 38.53038315 2030: 39.39159298 2031: 40.24212151 2032: 41.07349427 2033: 41.8980074 2034: 42.70080437 2035: 43.92334517 2036: 44.70642048 2037: 45.49812631 2038: 46.26136389 2039: 47.00748026 2040: 47.71339334 2041: 48.35734901 2042: 48.94005584 2043: 49.45386502 2044: 49.9026201 2045: 50.29023907 2046: 50.61170226 2047: 50.89159581 2048: 51.14055646 2049: 51.36465869 2050: 51.55291089
Figure 11: Additional industrial peak demand breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (MW)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Electric HGVs 94.960 380.974 423.149 Electric Buses 8.431 19.982 21.761 Electrolysers 411.822 664.729 1329.852 Large industry Fuel Switching 196.553 435.038 624.979
0
500
1,000
Peak demand (MW)
2030
2040
2050
Electric HGVs 2022: 0.584 2023: 2.352 2024: 5.391 2025: 10.192 2026: 17.949 2027: 29.537 2028: 45.879 2029: 67.650 2030: 94.960 2031: 127.024 2032: 162.331 2033: 199.151 2034: 235.399 2035: 269.366 2036: 299.923 2037: 326.459 2038: 348.729 2039: 366.796 2040: 380.974 2041: 391.805 2042: 399.899 2043: 405.870 2044: 410.290 2045: 413.617 2046: 416.199 2047: 418.291 2048: 420.074 2049: 421.667 2050: 423.149
Electric Buses 2022: 0.893 2023: 1.333 2024: 1.980 2025: 2.763 2026: 3.678 2027: 4.712 2028: 5.847 2029: 7.094 2030: 8.431 2031: 9.822 2032: 11.228 2033: 12.628 2034: 13.994 2035: 15.294 2036: 16.498 2037: 17.581 2038: 18.527 2039: 19.327 2040: 19.982 2041: 20.502 2042: 20.911 2043: 21.222 2044: 21.448 2045: 21.604 2046: 21.701 2047: 21.752 2048: 21.772 2049: 21.771 2050: 21.761
Electrolysers 2022: 0.000 2023: 0.558 2024: 3.055 2025: 86.291 2026: 130.798 2027: 179.360 2028: 235.255 2029: 303.150 2030: 411.822 2031: 453.998 2032: 455.656 2033: 499.868 2034: 544.400 2035: 546.578 2036: 612.718 2037: 602.819 2038: 606.687 2039: 615.591 2040: 664.729 2041: 796.863 2042: 900.734 2043: 993.973 2044: 1095.578 2045: 1162.225 2046: 1223.266 2047: 1258.851 2048: 1275.415 2049: 1321.490 2050: 1329.852
Large industry Fuel Switching 2022: 28.969 2023: 43.454 2024: 57.939 2025: 72.423 2026: 97.249 2027: 122.075 2028: 146.901 2029: 171.727 2030: 196.553 2031: 218.360 2032: 240.167 2033: 261.974 2034: 283.781 2035: 305.588 2036: 331.478 2037: 357.368 2038: 383.258 2039: 409.148 2040: 435.038 2041: 473.026 2042: 511.015 2043: 549.003 2044: 586.991 2045: 624.979 2046: 624.979 2047: 624.979 2048: 624.979 2049: 624.979 2050: 624.979
Figure 12: Additional industrial energy consumption breakdown - NPg Best View Scenario (GWh)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Electric HGVs 1197.036 4802.431 5334.068 Electric Buses 266.662 632.038 688.295 Electrolysers 3607.564 5823.027 11649.500 Large industry Fuel Switching 1721.806 3810.935 5474.819
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Energy consumption (GWh)
2030
2040
2050
Electric HGVs 2022: 7.358 2023: 29.655 2024: 67.952 2025: 128.472 2026: 226.262 2027: 372.331 2028: 578.336 2029: 852.773 2030: 1197.036 2031: 1601.226 2032: 2046.285 2033: 2510.424 2034: 2967.360 2035: 3395.532 2036: 3780.729 2037: 4115.227 2038: 4395.964 2039: 4623.700 2040: 4802.431 2041: 4938.965 2042: 5040.993 2043: 5116.258 2044: 5171.979 2045: 5213.920 2046: 5246.468 2047: 5272.839 2048: 5295.308 2049: 5315.396 2050: 5334.068
Electric Buses 2022: 28.257 2023: 42.175 2024: 62.612 2025: 87.379 2026: 116.331 2027: 149.044 2028: 184.941 2029: 224.389 2030: 266.662 2031: 310.668 2032: 355.132 2033: 399.438 2034: 442.628 2035: 483.742 2036: 521.830 2037: 556.093 2038: 585.998 2039: 611.319 2040: 632.038 2041: 648.490 2042: 661.418 2043: 671.246 2044: 678.409 2045: 683.324 2046: 686.395 2047: 688.025 2048: 688.638 2049: 688.623 2050: 688.295
Electrolysers 2022: 0.000 2023: 4.891 2024: 26.759 2025: 755.905 2026: 1145.787 2027: 1571.191 2028: 2060.837 2029: 2655.590 2030: 3607.564 2031: 3977.024 2032: 3991.549 2033: 4378.840 2034: 4768.940 2035: 4788.021 2036: 5367.407 2037: 5280.692 2038: 5314.578 2039: 5392.574 2040: 5823.027 2041: 6980.519 2042: 7890.430 2043: 8707.204 2044: 9597.262 2045: 10181.095 2046: 10715.811 2047: 11027.532 2048: 11172.637 2049: 11576.248 2050: 11649.500
Large industry Fuel Switching 2022: 253.771 2023: 380.657 2024: 507.543 2025: 634.428 2026: 851.904 2027: 1069.379 2028: 1286.855 2029: 1504.331 2030: 1721.806 2031: 1912.835 2032: 2103.863 2033: 2294.892 2034: 2485.921 2035: 2676.949 2036: 2903.746 2037: 3130.543 2038: 3357.340 2039: 3584.138 2040: 3810.935 2041: 4143.711 2042: 4476.488 2043: 4809.265 2044: 5142.042 2045: 5474.819 2046: 5474.819 2047: 5474.819 2048: 5474.819 2049: 5474.819 2050: 5474.819
Figure 13: Network annual fuel consumption breakdown - NPg Planning Scenario (GWh-yr)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Natural gas 40.27813412 16.35748161 0.08463351 Solid fuel 0.41469095 0.106396853 0.008943769 Petroleum 40.53643516 5.335305757 0.106090039 Hydrogen 0.133325141 2.018657855 3.947998708 Bioenergy 2.180307073 0.96520387 0.606035703 Electricity 43.91554218 65.05045544 72.94932022
0
20
40
60
Fuel consumption (GWh-yr)
2030
2040
2050
Natural gas 2022: 53.13282085 2023: 52.32792356 2024: 51.48896951 2025: 50.31887711 2026: 48.88987008 2027: 47.18171055 2028: 44.94243092 2029: 42.64353589 2030: 40.27813412 2031: 38.38003155 2032: 36.35306385 2033: 34.04627562 2034: 31.41597747 2035: 28.77558852 2036: 26.26783741 2037: 23.86190039 2038: 21.43795253 2039: 18.94160297 2040: 16.35748161 2041: 13.61294144 2042: 11.14976973 2043: 8.977851094 2044: 6.891499162 2045: 5.108797398 2046: 3.495933276 2047: 1.916921189 2048: 0.665254067 2049: 0.349257581 2050: 0.08463351
Solid fuel 2022: 0.778931491 2023: 0.738258594 2024: 0.696961522 2025: 0.660637499 2026: 0.61288972 2027: 0.555003654 2028: 0.492340599 2029: 0.453079198 2030: 0.41469095 2031: 0.380924841 2032: 0.347443149 2033: 0.315694365 2034: 0.28420752 2035: 0.254189982 2036: 0.225072745 2037: 0.195873211 2038: 0.166761976 2039: 0.13659035 2040: 0.106396853 2041: 0.076128352 2042: 0.045945238 2043: 0.017155439 2044: 0.014382823 2045: 0.013206738 2046: 0.012091649 2047: 0.010995857 2048: 0.010025978 2049: 0.009457742 2050: 0.008943769
Petroleum 2022: 74.04434804 2023: 71.49879131 2024: 68.65574047 2025: 65.02666729 2026: 60.28360617 2027: 55.48321389 2028: 50.47066188 2029: 45.40402314 2030: 40.53643516 2031: 35.70762412 2032: 30.5554031 2033: 25.83388586 2034: 21.57096479 2035: 17.76077072 2036: 14.57126362 2037: 11.76454965 2038: 9.307490012 2039: 7.171547064 2040: 5.335305757 2041: 3.845453143 2042: 2.644708118 2043: 1.694406957 2044: 1.076805078 2045: 0.667724326 2046: 0.438689889 2047: 0.272405402 2048: 0.195002807 2049: 0.142304059 2050: 0.106090039
Hydrogen 2022: 0.008665637 2023: 0.010189035 2024: 0.012560961 2025: 0.015949707 2026: 0.018421935 2027: 0.021838353 2028: 0.026750654 2029: 0.031719783 2030: 0.133325141 2031: 0.237549969 2032: 0.346393774 2033: 0.486893161 2034: 0.645409579 2035: 0.829372969 2036: 1.032309103 2037: 1.222628164 2038: 1.435789166 2039: 1.674208179 2040: 2.018657855 2041: 2.452796546 2042: 2.829535777 2043: 3.094175924 2044: 3.373691139 2045: 3.565550821 2046: 3.681565293 2047: 3.791104956 2048: 3.867442911 2049: 3.944362693 2050: 3.947998708
Bioenergy 2022: 3.512886537 2023: 3.377818664 2024: 3.238947247 2025: 3.107587944 2026: 2.929259011 2027: 2.72324741 2028: 2.501197541 2029: 2.33927524 2030: 2.180307073 2031: 2.055237162 2032: 1.931170595 2033: 1.813811937 2034: 1.682571241 2035: 1.50542601 2036: 1.399214365 2037: 1.292510304 2038: 1.18625795 2039: 1.07555904 2040: 0.96520387 2041: 0.854827005 2042: 0.744434673 2043: 0.639614362 2044: 0.624410981 2045: 0.617114152 2046: 0.614578287 2047: 0.612069408 2048: 0.610021021 2049: 0.608027412 2050: 0.606035703
Electricity 2022: 35.94381194 2023: 36.06186494 2024: 36.35850758 2025: 36.83997375 2026: 37.57741574 2027: 38.61975801 2028: 40.00863838 2029: 41.6935327 2030: 43.91554218 2031: 45.98192321 2032: 48.02241182 2033: 50.19708776 2034: 52.37522558 2035: 54.92243512 2036: 57.33254914 2037: 59.43050057 2038: 61.45301793 2039: 63.33642689 2040: 65.05045544 2041: 66.54649409 2042: 67.87146549 2043: 69.00722751 2044: 69.96278886 2045: 70.77192916 2046: 71.46123151 2047: 72.14521235 2048: 72.79739976 2049: 72.91740309 2050: 72.94932022
Emissions
Figure 14: Annual carbon emissions (MtCO2)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 NPg Planning scenario 20.22364966 5.173389698 0.219863684
0
10
20
30
Mt CO2(e)
2030
2040
2050
NPg Planning scenario 2022: 34.39444922 2023: 33.12113949 2024: 32.3219204 2025: 30.88868177 2026: 28.33214507 2027: 26.18467277 2028: 24.18075712 2029: 22.29941961 2030: 20.22364966 2031: 18.33698608 2032: 16.24639693 2033: 14.35157228 2034: 12.55832502 2035: 10.89264661 2036: 9.582072095 2037: 8.367612352 2038: 7.254486171 2039: 6.191408758 2040: 5.173389698 2041: 4.108110367 2042: 3.279335993 2043: 2.579018768 2044: 1.995023632 2045: 1.448057442 2046: 1.049046159 2047: 0.654529489 2048: 0.380736615 2049: 0.285127765 2050: 0.219863684
Figure 15: Cumulative carbon emissions (MtCO2)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 NPg Planning Scenario 322.012292 430.967188 446.9660379
0
100
200
300
400
Cumulative emissions (MtCO2)
2030
2040
2050
NPg Planning Scenario 2022: 104.4599061 2023: 137.5810456 2024: 169.902966 2025: 200.7916478 2026: 229.1237929 2027: 255.3084656 2028: 279.4892228 2029: 301.7886424 2030: 322.012292 2031: 340.3492781 2032: 356.595675 2033: 370.9472473 2034: 383.5055723 2035: 394.3982189 2036: 403.980291 2037: 412.3479034 2038: 419.6023896 2039: 425.7937983 2040: 430.967188 2041: 435.0752984 2042: 438.3546344 2043: 440.9336532 2044: 442.9286768 2045: 444.3767342 2046: 445.4257804 2047: 446.0803099 2048: 446.4610465 2049: 446.7461743 2050: 446.9660379
Figure 16: Network annual carbon emission breakdown - NPg Planning Scenario (MtCO2)
Scenario 2030 2040 2050 Natural gas 8.228017237 3.341506343 0.017288933 Hydrogen 0.00396029 0.026808637 0.057656781 Bioenergy 0.0340782 0.015086136 0.009472338 Petrol 9.972336309 1.34977123 0.03010756 Solid fuel 0.140994923 0.03617493 0.003040882 Electricity 1.985257621 0.440217351 0.105338071 Total Emissions 11.99563242 1.831883355 0.20257475
0
5
10
15
20
Annual emissions (MtCO2)
2030
2040
2050
Natural gas 2022: 10.85397264 2023: 10.68954822 2024: 10.51816669 2025: 10.27914022 2026: 9.987222661 2027: 9.638279831 2028: 9.180839788 2029: 8.711221512 2030: 8.228017237 2031: 7.840272845 2032: 7.426203883 2033: 6.954973183 2034: 6.417655877 2035: 5.878277222 2036: 5.365993826 2037: 4.874509011 2038: 4.379344942 2039: 3.869390655 2040: 3.341506343 2041: 2.780851678 2042: 2.27767496 2043: 1.833995422 2044: 1.407795449 2045: 1.043625132 2046: 0.71414925 2047: 0.391588661 2048: 0.135898101 2049: 0.071346339 2050: 0.017288933
Hydrogen 2022: 0.000683658 2023: 0.000727077 2024: 0.000717157 2025: 0.000776772 2026: 0.00064973 2027: 0.00063455 2028: 0.000941494 2029: 0.000960663 2030: 0.00396029 2031: 0.005950366 2032: 0.007395202 2033: 0.009297332 2034: 0.011900579 2035: 0.014207714 2036: 0.017002627 2037: 0.019108613 2038: 0.021453974 2039: 0.023705699 2040: 0.026808637 2041: 0.034564279 2042: 0.040794632 2043: 0.045413954 2044: 0.049873348 2045: 0.053049526 2046: 0.05507445 2047: 0.056199573 2048: 0.057451587 2049: 0.05820506 2050: 0.057656781
Bioenergy 2022: 0.054906417 2023: 0.052795306 2024: 0.050624745 2025: 0.0485716 2026: 0.045784318 2027: 0.042564357 2028: 0.039093718 2029: 0.036562872 2030: 0.0340782 2031: 0.032123357 2032: 0.030184196 2033: 0.028349881 2034: 0.026298588 2035: 0.023529809 2036: 0.021869721 2037: 0.020201936 2038: 0.018541212 2039: 0.016810988 2040: 0.015086136 2041: 0.013360946 2042: 0.011635514 2043: 0.009997172 2044: 0.009759544 2045: 0.009645494 2046: 0.009605859 2047: 0.009566645 2048: 0.009534629 2049: 0.009503468 2050: 0.009472338
Petrol 2022: 18.15053935 2023: 17.52993135 2024: 16.83781335 2025: 15.95845405 2026: 14.80362403 2027: 13.62691998 2028: 12.39501143 2029: 11.16067651 2030: 9.972336309 2031: 8.797047098 2032: 7.545288197 2033: 6.395609484 2034: 5.35452095 2035: 4.422152055 2036: 3.639418923 2037: 2.948135804 2038: 2.34051249 2039: 1.809247099 2040: 1.34977123 2041: 0.973495032 2042: 0.667412015 2043: 0.422194504 2044: 0.269737232 2045: 0.168717709 2046: 0.112201859 2047: 0.070691091 2048: 0.051806448 2049: 0.038983533 2050: 0.03010756
Solid fuel 2022: 0.264836707 2023: 0.251007922 2024: 0.236966918 2025: 0.22461675 2026: 0.208382505 2027: 0.188701242 2028: 0.167395804 2029: 0.154046927 2030: 0.140994923 2031: 0.129514446 2032: 0.118130671 2033: 0.107336084 2034: 0.096630557 2035: 0.086424594 2036: 0.076524733 2037: 0.066596892 2038: 0.056699072 2039: 0.046440719 2040: 0.03617493 2041: 0.02588364 2042: 0.015621381 2043: 0.005832849 2044: 0.00489016 2045: 0.004490291 2046: 0.004111161 2047: 0.003738591 2048: 0.003408833 2049: 0.003215632 2050: 0.003040882
Electricity 2022: 5.334347153 2023: 4.848137534 2024: 4.914598454 2025: 4.601739131 2026: 3.494864333 2027: 2.876274052 2028: 2.564870682 2029: 2.389998047 2030: 1.985257621 2031: 1.661592418 2032: 1.237325455 2033: 0.963342404 2034: 0.747949022 2035: 0.554479806 2036: 0.537786999 2037: 0.505656989 2038: 0.494633554 2039: 0.472254317 2040: 0.440217351 2041: 0.305838433 2042: 0.281818872 2043: 0.267417716 2044: 0.257858059 2045: 0.173019581 2046: 0.158014742 2047: 0.126483519 2048: 0.12604585 2049: 0.107089365 2050: 0.105338071
Total Emissions 2022: 23.54047658 2023: 22.43159127 2024: 21.80375371 2025: 20.60954156 2026: 18.34492241 2027: 16.54639294 2028: 14.99991733 2029: 13.5881981 2030: 11.99563242 2031: 10.49671324 2032: 8.820193051 2033: 7.3965991 2034: 6.140669139 2035: 5.014369383 2036: 4.21607827 2037: 3.493103341 2038: 2.875141229 2039: 2.322018103 2040: 1.831883355 2041: 1.327258689 2042: 1.001661033 2043: 0.745023347 2044: 0.587228183 2045: 0.404432309 2046: 0.33489691 2047: 0.262940828 2048: 0.244838514 2049: 0.213781427 2050: 0.20257475
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